8. CONCLUSIONS
We find ourselves at the beginning of a complex project, which we have planned in considerable detail. We are not as far along as we would have hoped, principally because it is much more difficult to bring books into online form than everyone has anticipated. In addition, the explosive growth of Web browser technology creates continuous pressure to improve the functionality of the books that go online. We are in the position of surgeons who must keep a patient active, while making drastic changes to that patient's anatomy. We believe that our procedures for surveying the users and analyzing their responses will help us to do that. We hope, in addition, that the results will prove useful to others who wish to understand or to replicate the transitions being pioneered at Columbia.
We look forward to suggestions and comments from others who are approaching this problem from other perspectives.
| Publisher/Title | Author | Subject | Print Status | Month Public | No. of Chapt. or Essays | |||
| Columbia University Press | ||||||||
| Great Paleozoic Crisis | Erwin | Earth Science | Circulating | 6/97 | 10/c | |||
| Seismosaurus: The Earth Shaker | Gillette | Earth Science | Circulating | 10/96 | 11c | |||
| Invasions of the Land | Gordon | Earth Science | Circulating | 6/97 | 10c | |||
| Folding of Viscous Layers* | Johnson | Earth Science | Circulating | |||||
| Dinosaur Tracks and Other Fossil Footprints* | Lockley | Earth Science | Circulating | |||||
| Sedimentographica: Photographic Atlas | Ricci-Lucchi | Earth Science | Circulating | 1/97 | 8c | |||
| Development of Biological Systematics* | Stevens | Earth Science | Circulating | |||||
| Consuming Subjects* | Kowaleski | Economic History | Circulating | |||||
| Jordan's Inter-Arab Relations | Brand | Internat'l Relations | Reserves | 3/97 | 8c | |||
| Managing Indonesia | Bresnan | Internat'l Relations | Reserves | 3/97 | 10c | |||
| Logic of Anarchy* | Buzan | Internat'l Relations | Reserves | |||||
| Hemmed In: Responses to Africa's... | Callagy | Internat'l Relations | Reserves | 3/97 | 13e | |||
| China's Road to the Korean War* | Chen | Internat'l Relations | Circulating | |||||
| Culture of National Security* | Katzenstein | Internat'l Relations | Reserves | |||||
| International Relations Theory & the End of the Cold War* | Lebow | Internat'l Relations | Circulating | |||||
| The Cold War on the Periphery* | McMahon | Internat'l Relations | Circulating | |||||
| Losing Control: Sovereignty...* | Sassen | Internat'l Relations | Circulating | |||||
| Gender In International Relations | Tickner | Internat'l Relations | Reserves Circulating | 11/96 | 5c | |||
| The Inhuman Race* | Cassuto | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| Rethinking Class: Literary Studies...* | Dimock | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| The Blue-Eyed Tarokaja* | Keene | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| Ecological Literary Criticism* | Kroeber | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| Parables of Possibility* | Martin | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| The Text and the Voice* | Portelli | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| At Emerson's Tomb* | Rowe | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| Extraordinary Bodies: Figuring Physical...* | Thomson | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| What Else But Love? The Ordeal of Race...* | Weinstein | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| Columbia Granger's Index to Poetry | Granger | Poetry | Ref. Desk | 10/94 | N/A | |||
| Ozone Discourses | Liftin | Political Science | Reserves | 1/97 | 6c | |||
| Concise Columbia Electronic Encyclopedia | Reference | Ref. Desk | 3/91 | N/A | ||||
| Hierarchy Theory* | Ahl | Science | Circulating | |||||
| Refiguring Life: Metaphors of 20th Century Biology* | Keller | Science | Circulating | |||||
| The Molecular Biology of Gaia* | Williams | Science | Circulating | |||||
| Sampling the Green World* | Stuessy | Science/ Botany | Circulating | |||||
| The Illusion of Love* | Celani | Social Work | Circulating | |||||
| Mutual Aid Groups, Vulnerable Populations, & the Life Cycle | Gitterman | Social Work | Reserves | 11/96 | 21e | |||
| Supervision in Social Work | Kadushin | Social Work | Reserves | 9/96 | 10c | |||
| Eating Disorders: New Directions* | Kinoy | Social Work | Circulating | |||||
| From Father's Property to Children's Rights* | Mason | Social Work | Circulating | |||||
| Handbook of Gerontological Services | Monk | Social Work | Reserves | 9/96 | 25e | |||
| Turning Promises Into Performance | Nathan | Social Work | Circulating | 9/96 | 13c | |||
| Philosophical Foundations of Social Work | Reamer | Social Work | Reserves Circulating | 9/96 | 5c | |||
| Task Strategies: An Empirical Approach | Reid | Social Work | Reserves | 9/96 | 11c | |||
| Experiencing HIV* | Sears | Social Work | Circulating | |||||
| Qualitative Research In Social Work | Sherman | Social Work | Reserves | 1/97 | 43e | |||
| The Empowerment Tradition in America* | Simon | Social Work | Circulating | |||||
| Garland Publishing | ||||||||
| Native American Women | Bataille | Biography | Reference | 1/97 | N/A | |||
| African American Women | Salem | Biography | Reference | 1/97 | N/A | |||
| Chaucer Name Dictionary | de Weever | English Literature | Reference | 12/96 | N/A | |||
| Oxford University Press | ||||||||
| Oxford English Dictionary | Language | Reference | 9/96 | N/A | ||||
| Postcards from the Trenches: Negotiating the Space Between Modernism & The First World War** | Booth | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| The Erotics of Talk** | Kaplan | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| "Littery Man": Mark Twain... | Lowrey | Literary Criticism | Circulating | 11/96 | 4c | |||
| Children's Literature & Critical Theory | May | Literary Criticism | Circulating | 11/96 | 9c | |||
| Poetics of Fascism | Morrison | Literary Criticism | Circulating | 10/96 | 4c | |||
| Novel & Globalization of Culture | Moses | Literary Criticism | Circulating | 11/96 | 4c | |||
| Modernism & the Theater of Censorship | Parkes | Literary Criticism | Circulating | 6/97 | 4c | |||
| Romances of the Republic: Women, the Family, & Violence in the Literature of the Early American Nation** | Samuels | Literary Criticism | Circulating | |||||
| Majestic Indolence: English Romantic Poetry... | Spiegelman | Literary Criticism | Circulating | 1/97 | 6c | |||
| Making Mortal Choices: Three Exercises in Moral Casuistry** | Bedau | Philosophy | Circulating | |||||
| Morality, Normativity & Society | Copp | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/97 | 10c | |||
| Free Public Reason: Making It Up ... | D'Agostino | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 10c | |||
| Metaphilosophy and Free Will** | Double | Philosophy | Circulating | |||||
| Bangs, Crunches, Whimpers & Shrieks | Earman | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 8c | |||
| Causation and Persistence: A Theory of Causation** | Ehring | Philosophy | Circulating | |||||
| Self Expression: Mind, Morals & Meaning... | Flanagan | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 12c | |||
| Logic of Reliable Inquiry | Kelly | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 16c | |||
| Philosophy of Mathematics & Mathematical Practice In the 17th Century | Mancosu | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 6c | |||
| Moral Dilemmas & Moral Theory** | mason | Philosophy | Circulating | |||||
| Autonomous Agents: From Self Control to Autonomy | Mele | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 13c | |||
| Other Minds: Critical Essays | Nagel | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 22e | |||
| The Last Word** | Nagel | Philosophy | Circulating | |||||
| Law & Truth | Patterson | Philosophy | Circulating | 11/96 | 7c | |||
| Nietzsche's System | Richardson | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 4c | |||
| Freedom & Moral Sentiment | Russel | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 12c | |||
| Living High and Letting Die** | Unger | Philosophy | Circulating | |||||
| The Human Animal** | Weston | Philosophy | not in yet | |||||
| Real Rights | Wellman | Philosophy | Circulating | 10/96 | 8c | |||
| Simon & Schuster | ||||||||
| Bond Markets**# | Fabozzi | Business | Reserves | |||||
| Marketing Management**# | Kotler | Business | Reserves | |||||
| Statistics for Business & Economics** | Newbold | Business | Reserves | |||||
| Investments** | Sharpe | Business | Reserves | |||||
| Financial Market Rates & Flows** | Van Horne | Business | Reserves | |||||
| Politics & the Media | Davis | Political Science | Reserves | 4/97 | 9c | |||
| Public Policy Analysis** | Dunn | Political Science | Reserves | |||||
| International Politics | Holsti | Political Science | Reserves | 1/97 | 15c | |||
| Notes: * Permission has been received, but the book is not yet online. ** Book is not yet online.
# A new edition has been issued for which we need the electronic file. | ||||||||
| Columbia Concise Electronic Encyclopedia. | |||||
| Oxford English Dictionary | |||||
| Granger's Index to Poetry | |||||
| Chaucer Name Dictionary | |||||
| Native American Women | |||||
| African American Women | |||||
| All other books |
| Specification | 5/94 (for student) | 12/94 | 4/95 | 8/95 | 11/95 |
| CPU | 486 | 486/66 | 486DX2/66 | 75 Mhz Pentium | 75 Mhz Pentium (slowest Pentium available) |
| RAM | 4 MB | 8 MB | 8 MB | 8 MB | 8 MB |
| Hard Drive Capacity | 100 MB | 340 MB | 500 MB | 750 MB | 1 GB |
| CD-ROM Drive | Double | Double | Quad | Quad | |
| Monitor: Size
Capacity | SVGA- compatible |
15"
256-color SVGA | 17" better | 15"
72-Hz | |
| Graphics: Pixels
Colors Video RAM | SVGA | 640 x 480
256 | 65,000 1 MB | 640 x 480
256 1 MB | |
| Sound: Card
Speakers | 16-bit Sound Blaster-compatible | Sound Blaster comp.
Stereo | 16-bit SB-compatible
Powered | ||
| Modem | 14.4 kbps fax modem | 14.4 kbps | 14.4 kbps fax modem | ||
| Price | $1,500 | $2,500 | $1,800-$2,000 | Not Given | About $2,000 |
| Source | Family PC, 5/1/94, p. 140+ | PC Magazine | "Family Shopper Smartcard," Family PC, 4/95 | Walter S. Mossberg, Personal Technology, Wall Street Journal, 8/31/95, p. B1 | "Multimedia Family PCs: New Minimum System Requirements," & "Family Shopper Smartcard," Family PC, 11/17/95 |
| Specification | 4/96 | 4/96 | 5/96 | 11/96 | 4/97 |
| CPU | 75 Mhz Pentium | 133 Mhz Pentium | 120 Mhz Pentium | 133 Mhz Pentium (200 Mhz is fastest available) | 166 Mhz MMX Pentium (200 Mhz if possible) |
| RAM | 8 MB | 16 MB | 16 MB | 16 MB EDO RAM | 16 MB (32 preferable) |
| Hard Drive Capacity | 1 GB | Fast 1.2 GB | 1.2 GB | 1.2 GB | 2.0 GB, more if possible |
| CD-ROM Drive | Quad | Quad | Quad | 6X (up to 12X available) | 8X |
| Monitor: Size | 15"
72-Hz | 15" (17" better) | 17" | 15" | 17" with maximum .28 mm dot pitch |
| Graphics: Pixels
Colors Video RAM | 640 x 480
256 1 MB | 64 bit Graphics Accelerator | 65,000 1 MB | Accelerated PCI graphics card w/1 MB RAM | 2 MB VRAM |
| Sound: Card
Speakers | 16-bit SB-compatible
Powered | Not mentioned | 16-bit SB-compatible | 16-bit FM music synthesis, SB-compatible | |
| Modem | 14.4 kbps fax modem | 28.8 kbps data/fax modem | 28.8 kbps | 28.8 kbps | 33.5 kbps, upgrade to 56 kbps |
| Connectors | Pair USB ports | ||||
| Price | About $2,000 | $2,500 or more | $2,000-$2,500 | $2,000 | Not given |
| Source | "Family Shopper Smartcard," Family PC, April 1996 | Bill Howard, "At Home," PC Magazine, 4/23/96, p. 300. Min. For "Perfect Home Computer" | Walter S. Mossberg, Personal Technology, Wall Street Journal, 5/10/96, p. B1 | "The '97 Multimedia Family PC," Family PC, Dec. 1996 (recd 11/19/96), p. 68. | Walter S. Mossberg, Personal Technology, Wall Street Journal, 4/9/97, p. B1 |
| Specification | 12/94 | 4/95 | 5/95 | 12/95 | 4/96 |
| Computer Name | P5-60 Family PC (featured in ads) | P5-60 Family PC (featured in ads) | P5-75 Family PC (featured in ads) | P5-100 Family PC (Top Rated, Best Buy) | P5-150 |
| CPU | 60 Mhz Pentium | 60 Mhz Pentium | 75 Mhz Pentium | 100 Mhz Pentium | 150 Mhz Pentium |
| RAM | 8 MB | 8 MB | 8 MB | 8 MB | 16 MB |
| Hard Drive Capacity | 540 MB | 540 MB | 730 MB | 1 GB | 1.6 GB |
| CD-ROM Drive | 2x | 4x | 4x | 4x | 6x |
| Monitor: Size | 14" | 15" | 17" | 15" | 17" |
| Graphics: Pixels
Colors Video RAM | 1 MB | 1 MB | 2 MB | 2 MB | 2 MB |
| Sound: Card
Speakers | 16-bit SB-compatible
Altec Lansing | 16-bit SB-compatible
Altec Lansing | 16-bit SB-compatible
Altec Lansing | 16-bit SB-compatible
Altec Lansing ACS-40 | 16-bit SB-compatible
Altec Lansing |
| Modem | 14.4 kbps fax modem | 14.4 kbps fax modem | 14.4 kbps fax modem | 28.8 kbps fax modem | 28.8 kbps fax modem |
| Software Included | MS Works + CD-ROMs | MS Works + CD-ROMs | MS Works + CD-ROMs | MS Works, 20 CD-ROMs | MS Office 95 |
| Price (+ shipping) | $2,099 | $2,099 | $2,499 | $2,149 | $2,899 |
| Source | GW2000 ad | GW2000 ad | GW2000 ad | "Multimedia Family PCs: Recommended Systems," Family PC, 11/17/95 & GW2000 advertising insert, 12/95 | GW2000 ad |
| Specification | 5/96 | 5/96 | 10/96 | 10/96 | 5/97 & 6/97 | 5/97 |
| Computer Name | P5-133 Family PC | P5-120 Family PC | P5-166 Family PC (featured in ads) | G6-180 Family PC (featured in ads) | G5-166M (featured in ads) | G5-200M (modified) |
| CPU | 133 Mhz Pentium | 120 Mhz Pentium | 166 Mhz Pentium | 180 Mhz Pentium Pro | 166 Mhz MMX Pentium | 200 Mhz MMX Pentium |
| RAM | 16 MB | 16 MB | 16 MB/256 KB Cache | 32 MB/256 KB Internal Cache | 16 MB/256 KB Internal Cache | 16 MB/512 KB Internal Cache |
| Hard Drive Capacity | 1.62 GB | 850 MB | 2 GB | 2 GB | 1.6 GB | 1.6 GB |
| CD-ROM Drive | 8x | 8x | 8x | 8x | 12X | 12X |
| Monitor: Size | 17" Vivitron | 15" CrystalScan | 17" CrystalScan | 17" Vivitron | 15" CrystalScan | 15" CrystalScan |
| Graphics
Video RAM | 64 Bit PCI Accelerator w/MPEG Video Scaler
2 MB | 64 Bit PCI Accelerator w/MPEG Video Scaler
1 MB | 64 Bit PCI Graphics 2 MB | 64 Bit PCI Graphics 2 MB | 64 Bit PCI Graphics
3-D 2 MB | 64 Bit PCI Graphics
3-D 2 MB |
| Sound: Card
Speakers | 16-bit SB-compatible
Altec Lansing ACS-40 | 16-bit SB-compatible
Altec Lansing ACS-40 | 16-bit Gateway Sound, SB-comp.
Altec Lansing ACS-40 | 16-bit Ensoniq Wavetable
Altec Lansing ACS-40 | 16-bit Gateway Sound, SB comp.
Altec Lansing ACS-41 | 16-bit Gateway Sound, SB comp.
Altec Lansing ACS-41 |
| Modem | 28.8 kbps fax modem | 28.8 kbps fax modem | 36.3 kbps fax modem w/speakerphone | 36.3 kbps fax modem w/speakerphone | Telepath modem w/speakerphone, x2 Tech upgradeable | Telepath modem w/speakerphone, x2 Tech upgradeable |
| Software Included | MS Works + 14 CD-ROMs | MS Works + 14 CD-ROMs | Generations II | Generations II | MS Office 97, Encarta, MMX Tech-Enhanced Software | MS Office 97 |
| Price (+ shipping) | $2,549 | $1,999 | $2,199 | $2,649 | 5/97: $1,799 6/97: $1,749 | $2,064 |
| Source | GW2000 ad, 5/96 | GW2000 ad, 5/96 | GW2000 ad, 10/96 | GW2000 ad, 10/96 | GW2000 ads | GW2000 website |
(ALL PERCENTAGES)
| Year & Source (so) for Estimate | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2000 | so | 1998 | so | Jan -97 | so | Dec -96 | so | Sep -96 | so | Jan -96 | so | Sep -95 | so | Jun -95 | so | Jan -95 | so | Sep -94 | so | Mar -94 | so | |
| HH Penetration PCs | 55 | 8 | 47 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 39 | 8 | 37 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 35 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 35 | 9 | 31 | 3 |
| 35.5 | 6 | 34 | 2 | 36 | 3 | 33 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 32.8 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| First Time Buyers of Home PCs Share of Total Sales Home PCs | 32 | 1 | 50 | 1 | 50 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Share of Primary HH PCs: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Pentium | 40% | 10 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 486 | 60% | 10 | 40 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Windows-based PCs (Share of All HH PCs) | 59.1 | 6 | 42.6 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||
| HH Penetration Modems | 50 | 8 | 42 | 8 | 28 | 8 | >50 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 3 | ||||||||
| 70 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 73 | 2* | |||||||||||||||||
| 44.4 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| HH Penetration Online Services | 35 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 1,4 | 6.4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4.5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 15 | 8 | 10.6 | 9 | 46 | 2** | 12 | 3 | 25 | 2* | |||||||||||||
| HH Penetration of Other Internet Access | 26 | 2** | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Adults (>=age 16) using Internet | ~25 | 7 | <10 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
| HH Penetration CD-ROMs | 70 | 2 | 15 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 2* | 55 | 2* | |||||||||||||||||||
| NOTES: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| * Percentage of new computers purchased in previous year. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| ** Percentage of modem owners subscribing to an online service. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| SOURCES: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1. Odyssey Ventures. Jared Sandberg, "PC Makers' Push Into More Homes May Be Faltering," Wall Street Journal, March 6, 1997 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2. Software Publishers Association Surveys (Telephone survey, about 500 adults) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3. Times Mirror Surveys (Telephone survey, about 3,600 adults) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4. Electronic Information Report, 1996 Online Subscriber Survey | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5. PC-Meter, Use of Internet Access Service in Last Month, reported by Reuters in clari-news | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6. NPD Group, Inc., "Latest NPD Survey Finds World Wide Web Access From Homes Grew Fourfold in Second Half of 1995" Report on survey of sample of 44,800 homes. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7. Nielsen Media Research survey for CommerceNet, Julia Angwin, "Internet Usage Doubles in a Year, San Francisco Chronicle, March 13, 1997 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8. Jupiter Communications, January 6, 1997 "New Devices and Technologies Will Drive Net Into 36 Million Homes by 2000" | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9. INTECO Corp., "Percent of HH with PCs, Internet Access: 1993 to 1996 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10. PC-Meter, "Pentium, Windows 95 in Minority of Home Installs, According to New PC Meter Reports," July 1, 1997 Press Release from PC-Meter. PC Meter panel consists of 10,000 PC-owning households in the U.S. Note: Value given as share of 486 processors is actually all sub-Pentium PC processors, so includes 286s and 386s as well. Report also notes that 47 percent of household PCs now have Windows 95. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Month | |||||||
| Jan. | 1,186 | 993 | 645 | 224 | -16% | -35% | -77% |
| Feb. | 1,645 | 1,342 | 991 | 341 | -18% | -26% | -66% |
| Mar. | 1,529 | 1,508 | 997 | 394 | -1% | -34% | -60% |
| April | 1,551 | 1,335 | 896 | 250 | -14% | -33% | -72% |
| May | 1,042 | 757 | 458 | 197 | -27% | -39% | -57% |
| June | 713 | 466 | 326 | -35% | -30% | ||
| July | 712 | 475 | 412 | -33% | -13% | ||
| Aug. | 708 | 496 | 251 | -30% | -49% | ||
| Sept. | 1,160 | 761 | 291 | -34% | -62% | ||
| Oct. | 1,879 | 1,251 | 542 | -33% | -57% | ||
| Nov. | 1,596 | 1,029 | 405 | -36% | -61% | ||
| Dec. | 1,300 | 833 | 300 | -36% | -64% | ||
| Total | 15,021 | 13,2416 | 6,514 | -25% | -42% | ||
| Note: July 1995 hits are estimated. | |||||||
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